Packers pedicted record is...

[Hellwig]

The Green Bay Packers will finish 7-9 this season, according to the 2006 "Pro Football Prospectus," which uses a variety of theories and statistical methods to arrive at its predictions.

"We get tagged sometimes as the football stat geeks," author Aaron Schatz writes. "We're not stat geeks. We're philosophy geeks."

The football philosophy geeks say the Packers have a 30% chance of finishing with seven or eight victories, in the category of mediocre teams.

According to its analysis, the Packers have a 11% chance of winning at least 11 games and being a Super Bowl contender, a 21% chance of winning nine or 10 games and being a playoff contender, a 24% chance of being a bad team with five or six victories and a 14% chance of being among the worst teams in the National Football League.

"Pro Football Prospectus" contends that the Packers have the second-easiest schedule in the league, again based on its formula for measuring strength of teams. The only team it thinks has an easier schedule is another one in the NFC North division, the Chicago Bears.

www.jsonline.com/story/index.aspx?id=480784] Link

[shawkins]

Well, if I remember correctly (which I probably don't) but of the Packers 12 losses, something like half of them were by less than 3 points. These were games that could have gone either way, but unfortunately they didn't go the Packers way. Personally I'm hoping for an 8-8 record. Not to high, not to low. Anything above will be excellent. Anything below won't be unexpected.

[JasonBayMVP]

I think 9-7 is more realistic. We actually have a defense this year. As well as a 3rd reciever.

[cyngeon]

6-10

Diminishing returns on Favre, no kicking game, defense won't be as good as advertised, questions on Green.

[Hellwig]

Yeah I am with Cyngeon 6-10 sounds about right. Not to be negative but if they win 7 or more games I would be shocked.